Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies for Friday, March 29, 2018

first_img​​RACE 6: Post 3:30 PT. Grade: BUse: 4-Super Duper Cooper; 7-Route Six SixForecast: ​Route Six Six is improving with racing, breaking his maiden with a sharp number in game style.  He has enough early speed to secure a favorable pace-stalking spot in a race that projects to be run at a moderate pace, at best.  Super Duper Cooper is strictly the one to beat and is a “must use” as well in rolling exotic play.  He’s a first-off-the-claim for Baltas and has every right to improve; however, he’s zero-for-12 lifetime over the Santa Anita main track.  Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying Route Six Six on top. ​​RACE 5: Post 3:00 PT. Grade: B+Single: 7-RafalForecast: Rafal has trained like an excellent prospect for Baffert and should be a short price to graduate at first asking.  Everything he’s done in the morning suggests he’ll beat this field, so we’ll make the New York-bred son of Alpha a no-value rolling exotic single. ​​RACE 8: Post 4:30 PT. Grade: C+Use: 1-Raggy Rocks; 7-OutlawForecast: Outlaw once was well regarded and drops to his lowest level ever.  He has numbers that will beat this field, but he’s already failed three times as the favorite, so he’s hardly one to trust.  Raggy Rocks hasn’t yet mastered the art of breaking from the gate, but if he ever decides to leave with his field he might be quite competitive in this league.  Maybe the addition of blinkers today will help.  We’ll try to get by using just these two but if you can afford to go deeper, feel free to spread. ​​RACE 2: Post 1:30 PT. Grade: B-Use: 2-Madaket Sunset; 5-Take a Leap; 6-Tiny TinaForecast: Tiny Tina is winless in five starts over the local lawn, but she has a good recent runner-up effort down the hill at this starter’s allowance level and won at this trip last summer at Del Mar.  She has good early speed but might be most effective if held up early and allowed to run late.  Madaket Sunset is probably more effective sprinting than routing but if she can make the lead without pressure she’ll take this group a long way.  Take a Leap closed a gap sprinting in the same race Tiny Tina exits and stretches out today to her preferred trip.  She has two prior wins over this course and distance and with only nine career starts probably has room for some improvement. RACE 7: Post 4:00 PT. Grade: B+Use: 1-Epical; 4-Beach ViewForecast: Beach View is a proven marathoner and always has been genuine and consistent.  The son of Giant’s Causeway should draft into a comfortable stalking position and then have every chance when the pressure gets turned on in the final furlong.  Epical, second in the same race Beach View exits, is the one to fear most.  If they hand him the front end, the Cassidy-trained gelding may never look back.  Both should be used in rolling exotic play; Beach View probably will be the better price of the two, so we’ll press with him on top.center_img ​​​RACE 4: Post 2:30 PT. Grade: B-Use: 4-Holy Moses; 7-Swirling; 8-Dahlia AzulForecast: This grass grab bag down the hill has several possibilities, among them Dahlia Azul, a route-to-spread play from the Bay Area dropping to a realistic level and landing the cozy outside post.  She appears more comfortable routing than sprinting, but over this unique course she might be able to produce the last run.  Swirling won a five-furlong turf sprint over the flat course in February with a strong late kick; similar tactics likely will be employed today.  She has prior numbers that would bury this group but following a win she’s raised only one notch on the class ladder, so the barn clearly isn’t in love with her.  Holy Moses has decent recent Phoenix form and has run well here in the past.  She should be prominent throughout under Pedroza. The selections contained within are geared to rolling exotic players.  The basic strategy is to isolate those horses that should be included in rolling daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and pick-6.​It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the exact rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis.  Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.​Unless otherwise noted, all horses listed in the analysis should be used in rolling exotic play.   Usually there will no more than three horses listed; occasionally, Jeff will go four-deep in his rolling exotic play and on a very rare occasion he will recommend a “buy the race” strategy.The selections are available every racing day after 9 a.m. (PST).  For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.​Top selection indicated in bold-face.  A=Highest degree of confidence.B=Solid Play.C=Least preferred, or pass.X=likely winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.​SANTA ANITAFriday, March 29, 2019​​RACE 1: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: CUse: 3-Ride Out the Storm; 4-Lily Con; 7-Tick TockForecast: The opener is a bottom-rung maiden claiming miler for sophomore fillies. Tick Tock has failed as the choice in her last pair but adds blinkers, is relatively strong in the speed figure department and has hit the board in each of her three career starts.  She rates top billing, but at 2-1 on the morning line offers little value.  Lily Con drops to the bottom and has the kind of early speed that could make her dangerous.  The break in the weights with the switch to bug boy Diaz certainly won’t hurt.  Ride Out the Storm is another class dropper likely to improve against this group.  She has the two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern and a pedigree that should allow her to handle a route. ​​RACE 3: Post 2:00 PT. Grade: C+Use:  2-Buck Duane; 4-Giddymeister; 5-Iron CurtainForecast: ​This is another wide-open affair that requires a spread in rolling exotic play.  We’ll go three-deep but not with a huge degree of confidence.  Iron Curtain is racing in solid form and has a good stalking style that should provide him every chance from the top of the lane to the wire.  He’s a fit based on speed figures and Quinonez knows him well.  Buck Duane has the blinkers off angle that we like but was a voided claim in his last start.  He’s also winless in seven starts over the local main track but has finished in the money in his last pair and should at least get a piece of it again today.  Giddymeister is re-equipped with blinkers and has a few prior races that could make him dangerous.  He broke his maiden over this main track about a year ago, so there’s that.last_img read more

San Pedro seeded 4th in playoffs

first_img AD Quality Auto 360p 720p 1080p Top articles1/5READ MOREGame Center: Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday, 10 a.m.Palisades, Venice and Taft (the defending City champion) grabbed the top three seeds in descending order. San Pedro’s lone loss in the City Section came at the beginning of the season to Palisades, but it looks to have an excellent shot of putting together a deep postseason run. Carson, which enjoyed a bit of a renaissance by reclaiming second place in the Marine League, earned the No. 8 seed and opens at home with No. 25 Manual Arts. No. 17 Narbonne travels to No. 16 Cleveland, and No. 26 King-Drew treks to No. 7 Bell. The winners from the first round advance to the championship bracket and the losers form the invitational bracket. The finals for all divisions are Saturday, Nov. 17, at Occidental College. From staff reports The San Pedro girls volleyball team earned the No. 4 seed at the L.A. City Section playoff seedings meeting on Tuesday night at Hamilton High, leading a group of four Marine League schools into the City Championships. San Pedro is trying to advance to its fourth straight City title match and will be seeking its third City title in four years. San Pedro opens the playoffs at home against No.29 South East. All first-round matches will be Thursday at 7 p.m. at the site of the better seed. In the Bay League … Redondo 3, Palos Verdes 0: Megan Saraceno had nine kills and eight digs in a 25-13, 25-18, 25-17 home win. Molly Goldbach added four kills and 11 digs. Lauren Allen recorded 19 assists and five digs for Redondo (25-5, 8-1). Mira Costa 3, Leuzinger 0: Jackie Gardner had nine kills to lead host Mira Costa in a 25-5, 25-5, 25-1 win. Erica Lau and Kristin Beals each added six kills for Mira Costa (28-0, 9-0). Peninsula 3, West Torrance 0: Kylie Tarpening led visiting Peninsula with 13 kills, 11 digs and four aces in a 25-18, 25-21, 25-22 win. Laura Day had six kills, nine digs and two aces for West (12-15, 1-8). In the Prep League … Chadwick 3, Mayfield 0: Michelle McCarthy had 17 kills, four aces and 28 digs to rally host Chadwick in its 23-25, 21-25, 26-24, 27-25, 17-15 win. Casey Reed added 10 kills and 29 digs for Chadwick (11-3, 9-3). Mayfield (11-1 in league) is the top-ranked team in its division. In the Pioneer League . . . El Segundo 3, Lawndale 0: Jen Stutzel led host El Segundo with 10 kills and four aces in its 25-11, 25-9, 25-14 win. Toni Alugbue had eight kills for El Segundo (5-10, 4-5). Torrance 3, Centennial 0: Maral Satari led host Torrance with six kills and four aces in a 25-5, 25-8, 25-10 victory. Heather Garza had five kills and 10 aces for Torrance (17-9, 6-3). In a nonleague match … Vistamar 3, St. Anthony 0: Lucy Tauber had 11 kills in a 25-15, 25-18, 25-17 win for host Vistamar (11-5). Leanne Gutierrez swept in singles as Pioneer League champion South Torrance posted an 11-7 win over visiting North Torrance. Esther Kim also swept in singles for South (11-7, 8-0). North is 13-6 overall, 6-3 in league. Also in the Pioneer League . . . El Segundo 12, Torrance 6: The doubles teams of Hoa Tran-Hope Schaffer, Kiki Onaga-Sanam Madhab and Elisa Buckner-Jamie Burkhard each swept their sets for host El Segundo. Yan Thanh Tran won two of three sets for Torrance (1-12, 0-9). In the Bay League . . . Mira Costa 11, Peninsula 7: Nicole Gibbs dropped two points, sweeping her three sets to help host Mira Costa (15-5, 6-2) clinch second place in league. Cze-Ja Tam won two singles sets for Peninsula (13-7, 4-4). Palos Verdes 14, West Torrance 4: Jasmine Moezzi won her three singles sets at love for host Palos Verdes. Wendy Whitcombe also swept her three singles sets for Palos Verdes (17-3, 8-0). In the Prep League … Chadwick 13, Mayfield 5: Cait Bartlett and Miya Jin swept their three singles sets to help visiting Chadwick (10-4, 8-0) clinch the Prep League. In the Del Rey League Tournament . . . Bishop Montgomery’s Melanie Scott defeated teammate Lauren Williams in a semifinal at Whittier Narrows to move on to the final. Bishop Montgomery’s doubles teams of Tori Pueblos-Yoshimi Yoshida and Christine Daniels-Genevieve Bever will meet in Thursday’s final. In the Olympic League doubles tournament … The CAMS doubles teams of Kemi Oyewole-Gabriele Newman and Maya Parker-Haley Costigan both won their semifinal matches at Brentwood. The final is Thursday at 2:30 p.m. Girls tennis Boys water polo Mike Katzer scored five goals to help host Palos Verdes edge Redondo, 10-9, in the Bay League. Michal Halac added three goals for Palos Verdes (14-7, 4-3). Ryan Vint led Redondo (10-11, 1-5) with five goals.160Want local news?Sign up for the Localist and stay informed Something went wrong. Please try again.subscribeCongratulations! You’re all set!last_img read more